This Thread Blows - C19 and beyond

[Mahnken]

So what? Did they avoid multiple waves? Nope

I mean, when they're totals are less than our first wave... They're avoiding a lot.

 

[Mahnken]

I mean, when they're totals are less than our first wave... They're avoiding a lot.

Especially considering their population compared to ours.

 

[Steve Vai]

Especially considering their population compared to ours.

I would imagine it's considerably easier to control this on an island where you can straight up block people coming in. In the US people are still flying all over the damn place.

 

[rick81721]

I mean, when they're totals are less than our first wave... They're avoiding a lot.

of course you are ASSuming that you can directly compare country vs country infection/death numbers, which you can't.

 

[Patrick]

Let's use your logic for the 2019 flu season: 168,000 lab diagnosed cases, 34,000 deaths = 20% infection mortality rate!

don't be silly - that is not my logic. i already assume there are undiagnosed cases - it looks like a factor of 5-7?
if all those are highly clustered in the low susceptibility group, then the overall mortality rate is not accurately
represented by dividing by overall deaths by 5-7.
I do understand that it is what it is (deaths/totals) - but we are artificially minimizing contact to the at-risk group.
I think that is the point i was pushing - and just blue skying, i guess vaccines (ie flu vaccines) do the same thing,
protect the at risk.

CDC Releases Updated COVID-19 Fatality Rate Data

The US Center for Disease Control (CDC) has released an update to their research on the fatality rate associated with COVID-19. The CDC first posted...

tallahasseereports.com

(link to cdc in article)




108M are 50+ -> 80M 50-69
28M are over 70 - https://www.infoplease.com/us/population/population-65-years-and-over-age-1990-2000-and-2010

so for 200M it is just about zero
for 80M it is .05%
for 28M is is 5.4 %

there was no co-morbidity table. which we've seen is highly correlated.

kinda stark -

 

[Patrick]

What?!? Site one study that confirms this nonsense. McRibs are AWESOME. Now this thread has really gone to shit. I don't care, ban me if you have to @Patrick but this guy's a jerk.

😉

Sorry Antonio - the McRib sucks. well compared to real ribs.....see who smoke their meat thread ! 😀

 

[rick81721]

don't be silly - that is not my logic.

Of course it was, at least yesterday: "It's killed 17/1000 of the people that caught it although we could double the
number of people who caught it because it makes us feel better, so 8/1000."

if all those are highly clustered in the low susceptibility group, then the overall mortality rate is not accurately
represented by dividing by overall deaths by 5-7.

That's the way most diseases work, the "at risk" will have a higher chance of dying.

 

[Patrick]

Of course it was, at least yesterday: "It's killed 17/1000 of the people that caught it although we could double the
number of people who caught it because it makes us feel better, so 8/1000."


That's the way most diseases work, the "at risk" will have a higher chance of dying.

damn, we are in the same group.

ps - i don't feel like calculating the weighted average up there.

 

[Cassinonorth]

If you don't get tested every week it's because you hate everyone. J/K no one cares enough to actually get tested like we're supposed to.

Today was my 9th and 10th test (GOTTA HAVE PCR). I'm so sick of getting my nose swabbed or spitting in tubes.

 

[A Potted Plant]

Sorry - it is BIYF season. Onto more important things - since Kev made his spreadsheet public, i linked to it.

You n/a'd me clearly it's rigged stop the count unless it's mine

 

[Mahnken]

of course you are ASSuming that you can directly compare country vs country infection/death numbers, which you can't.

Who brought up Japan?

 

[Patrick]

You n/a'd me clearly it's rigged stop the count unless it's mine

i can only report on the known data. there are rumors you put in more than zero, but it is anecdotal. 😀

 

[a.s.]

Sorry Antonio - the McRib sucks. well compared to real ribs.....see who smoke their meat thread ! 😀

In truth, I’ve never had a McRib so not sure what the hell I’m talking about. See what beer are you drinking right now thread.

 

[Mahnken]

I was finally able to schedule my vaccine today. Getting the first shot before the new year 💉

 

[jmanic]

I’m just catching up here-
Is @rick8675309 is rooting for Covid?
Do I have that right?

 

[Patrick]

I’m just catching up here-
Is @rick8675309 is rooting for Covid?
Do I have that right?

apparently you got his number.

 

[w_b]

@jenny

 

[Blair]

I was finally able to schedule my vaccine today. Getting the first shot before the new year 💉

How does this compare to a flu shot? You can get the vaccine but still get the flu and pass it around, just a lower chance of dying?

 

[Patrick]

How does this compare to a flu shot? You can get the vaccine but still get the flu and pass it around, just a lower chance of dying?

this is actually interesting. the idea is the corona virus vaccine is a vaccine to take care of multiple variants.
the flu vaccine picks the most likely strains to spread, and it is specific to them.
very cool.

neither are 100% effective - so there is that.

 

[Blair]

this is actually interesting. the idea is the corona virus vaccine is a vaccine to take care of multiple variants.
the flu vaccine picks the most likely strains to spread, and it is specific to them.
very cool.

neither are 100% effective - so there is that.

Yeah that’s kind of my point, not sure what difference it makes or how long it even lasts. We shall see.