rick81721
Lothar
Numbers for NY state:
24,500 dead/3,200,000 infected = 0.76%
Most of the infected in FL had no symptoms, they aren't dying. We will see in the next week if the large increase in new cases results in an increase in deaths.
This Thread Blows - C19 and beyond
- Thread starter Paul H
- Start date
Numbers for NY state:
24,500 dead/3,200,000 infected = 0.76%
Most of the infected in FL had no symptoms, they aren't dying. We will see in the next week if the large increase in new cases results in an increase in deaths.
rick81721
Lothar
An island nation of less than 5 million can do it, as long as no one gets back in:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2020/06/20/new-zealand-coronavirus-migrants-borders/
PS they just found a few new cases.
Burden of Influenza
Learn about how CDC estimates the burden of seasonal influenza in the U.S.
eyeballing the cdc model of flu deaths, the average of the mean of the 95% confidence interval over the last 10 years is ~40,000/yr
Looking at the C19 deaths from CDC - https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/us-cases-deaths.html
Count will go over 120,000 today.
175,00+ by the end of September, since i'm supposed to make a prediction??? which will be about 3x the worst mean flu deaths (2018)
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The flu is not a single virus - the "vaccine" is not a vaccine like MMR. It is a temporary immunization against the strains they modeled as most likely
to spread. If they "miss" on the prediction, more people get sick.
Estimated vaccine coverage is ~50% overall, with ~65% in the 65+ age bracket. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/fluvaxview/coverage-1819estimates.htm
That leaves quite a few unvaccinated, and the efficacy is sketchy as people get older - reduced immune response in general. (that is in one of these cdc statements)
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i've upped my comfort level to riding with a group rather than just a couple people - but we really do stay away from each other.
I can't keep up anyway, so i use that as my distancing strategy.
Masks inside public spaces - required, and not a problem.
Not planning on going out to eat yet.
rick81721
Lothar
.Burden of Influenza
Learn about how CDC estimates the burden of seasonal influenza in the U.S.www.cdc.gov
eyeballing the cdc model of flu deaths, the average of the mean of the 95% confidence interval over the last 10 years is ~40,000/yr
Looking at the C19 deaths from CDC - https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/us-cases-deaths.html
Count will go over 120,000 today.
175,00+ by the end of September, since i'm supposed to make a prediction??? which will be about 3x the worst mean flu deaths (2018)
--------------
The flu is not a single virus - the "vaccine" is not a vaccine like MMR. It is a temporary immunization against the strains they modeled as most likely
to spread. If they "miss" on the prediction, more people get sick.
Estimated vaccine coverage is ~50% overall, with ~65% in the 65+ age bracket. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/fluvaxview/coverage-1819estimates.htm
That leaves quite a few unvaccinated, and the efficacy is sketchy as people get older - reduced immune response in general. (that is in one of these cdc statements)
--------------
i've upped my comfort level to riding with a group rather than just a couple people - but we really do stay away from each other.
I can't keep up anyway, so i use that as my distancing strategy.
Masks inside public spaces - required, and not a problem.
Not planning on going out to eat yet.
CDC estimates flu vaccine saves about 20% of deaths per season, so between 2 to 3× flu death rate sounds about right.
Anywho, is this really happening?
https://nypost.com/2020/06/21/coronavirus-is-weakening-could-disappear-on-its-own-italian-doctor/
Paul H
Fearless OOS Poser
Maybe only blood type O's are getting infected these days? ?
Let’s hope so, that would be awesome.
A Potted Plant
Honorary Sod
Do I make the list? Lol
something like 3/7ths of the world population is india and china.
there may be some challenges in accurate reporting.
sweden has stopped reporting because of....well the truth is embarrassing the people in power.
thegock
Well-Known Member
Great job by u and the Kpop krew punking Tulsa
thegock
Well-Known Member
We can't have @SNOWFAK3 made to be look ridiculous.
They must have heard me - worldometers had them offline, and when i checked their dashboard it didn't have
data after the 18th. all better now - they made up some data to save face. 😉
rick81721
Lothar
yeah well in any event they still need to triple deaths to catch NJ or NY...
not a horrible comparison to NJ - within 10% population - nj with 3x cases and deaths.
the glaring difference is the landmass of sweden is 20x the size of NJ - but that doesn't matter -
70% of the people are in the southern 25%
