This Thread Blows - C19 and beyond

ooh, math!

i saw the number of cases graphed as an almost straight line - problem is the graph paper was logarithmic scale.

see. you did need that hs math...

the cascading effects are more scary....and geez, he just put me in the target age range.
See ya all in august.
 
You should wash your hands more often. It's like bleeding gums when you don't floss.?
Finding myself washing or sanitizing every hr if not more
Being paranoid.... every time I touch something thats not mine.... gotta wash!
 
There is no single reason, which is why I wrote about "one thing" that helped. Another thing that helped was, as you note, it infected older people less than typical because many of them had antibodies. https://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/cdcresponse.htm

Well that "one thing" was the major reason for lower mortality rate. What effect did "better preparedness" have? A national health emergency wasn't declared until 6 months after it was first detected in the US and by then over 1 million were infected and more than 1000 dead.
 
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Well that "one thing" was the major reason for lower mortality rate. What effect did "better preparedness" have? A health emergency wasn't declared until 6 months after it was first detected in the US and by then over 1 million were infected and more than 1000 dead.

the WW1 slant is crazy. everyone in a vacuum trying to control it.
 
How have to take all of the doom and gloom prognostication with a little bit of perspective. No public health official or expert is going to go on record with anything other than a dim outlook. There is no liability or penalty to overstating the risk or impact, but you had better believe that understating it carries the risk of getting hung by the balls and then a public decapitation.

Having said all of that, we're still doing it wrong. Like I said before, if you want to avoid a widespread epidemic, you need to endure the pain and close schools, offices (start telecommuting), and warn the public to stay away from crowded spaces before everyone starts popping positive. Once people start getting sick, its too late.
 
In Poland they have about 30 confirmed cases. Government decided to close all schools for 2 weeks to try to contain virus spread. Some countries have good ideas what to do.
 
Listened to most of the Rogan Osterholm podcast on the commute home. I’m sorry but I just can’t take anyone seriously when they celebrate vague generalizations as “predictions” and constantly refer back to “their book”........ regardless of their credentials.

That’s not to say that he doesn’t make some valid (or at least passes the sniff test) points. He does.... but to a point.

Much like the email I received from Citibank telling me they’re here for me and offering me COVID-19 assistance in the form of links to FAQ’s and resources. It’s not SPAM, it’s COVID-19.....?
 
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Listened to most of the Rogan Osterholm podcast on the commute home. I’m sorry but I just can’t take anyone seriously when they celebrate vague generalizations as “predictions” and constantly refer back to “their book”........ regardless of their credentials.

That’s not to say that he doesn’t make some valid (or at least passes the sniff test) points. He does.... but to a point.

Much like the email I received from Citibank telling me they’re here for me and offering me COVID-19 assistance in the form of links to FAQ’s and resources. It’s not SPAM, it’s COVID-19.....?

I have a customer who is a muckty muck at J&J. He attends those big WHO meetings every year in Switzerland etc.. he says that this guy is legit.
 
So response at work has ramped up quickly-
Thru Monday afternoon: nothing
Monday between 6-6:30- all classes remote for a trial period Wed thru Friday, trial to be assessed over spring break next week,
research efforts will be paused. Announcements coming from every level and every department.
This afternoon: remote classes instituted through 3/29, and telecommuting approved for the same period (thanks, but I wasn't asking permission).

And since everyone likes pretty pictures,
here's some figures that contextulaize this all:
 
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