Sometimes it seems like such a total waste of time posting. The Jester of Ringwood thinks the trails will be dry enough to ride after 1” of rain with the existing moisture in the soil in a day or two. You are right, I picked the two wettest sections of trail in the entire park for my photos. I can totally see why other trail users think mountain bikers cause trail damage.
Give me a break, if you actually rode last weekend you’d know it wasn’t so bad. I won’t name trails, but I did close to a 9mile ride and it was 99% dry. The wettest parts of the ride was out of the lot and on the fire road connectors. As far as the rain is concerned and how conditions will be, well, we‘ll have to see how much rain falls, how quickly things dry out, etc. It’s been close to 2 weeks with no significant precip of any type. We’ll have to use that thing no one uses anymore called judgement. Riding on Friday? Obviously no. Saturday, unlikely, depends on how much rain falls. Beyond that, judgement.
As a complete aside, I find most trail condition reports to be BS. Everyone wants to minimize traffic at their favorite places, which is understandable. No one focuses on trail etiquette like yielding to the uphill rider, hiker, etc., or getting off of your bike and just walking around an obvious mud bog to minimize damage, which is where the focus should be. People are going to ride whether you want them to or not, if anything hammer the etiquette into their heads.