This Thread Blows - C19 and beyond

I’m going to Maryland Monday. It will be different for sure but we will make the best of it. Just relax and take a much needed rest in different scenery.
 
We canceled our July trip to the Olympic NP area. Had a nice rental on the beach. Got full refund for the house, vouchers for the airfair. Car rental was a sweet prepay deal on kayak.com. might be eating that. So with the estimated savings(and maybe a bit more) we now have a hot tub 😎
 
My friend is having a huge boldering wall built in his backyard. He and his wife met at the local climbing gym and it's still their favorite activity.

At work, there's a small but steady drumbeat of whiners who want to know why we can't lift the limit on the maximum number of vacation hours you can bank. FFS, just take some time off! People will whine about anything. At multiple all-hands, the (anonymous) question was raised: "I pay extra for more dental cleanings per year but i've had to skip one. Will we get a refund?" Are you kidding me? You have a high paying, risk-free full time job and are making more thanks to reduced expenses while we break unemployment records... Unbelievably, they actually managed to get the insurance company to cough up. The pay out ranged from $10-75! What will they buy first?
 
Daily Growth as a percentage previously diagnosed.

Lower half of the table - the ones with the highest recent percentage growth.

Green shading indicates that the number is less than the column to the right.
I'm not sure how to interpret a single week increase (not shaded), but a couple weeks
in a row, starting to mean something?


1592651783620.png

Top half of previous chart.

NY/NJ continue to limit the spread on a percentage rank - and are trending down. That is a bit skewed
by the large number of cases in the first 8 weeks. The numbers don't include population (ie new cases
per day as a percentage of population)

1592652372133.png

In absolute numbers - NJ is adding around 400 new cases per day, NY around 800.
the trend has been down.

Looking at the mortality numbers - they continue to trend downward even with the active cases trending upward.
Nice job by our health care peeps - figuring out how to keep people alive if they get it, and our care industry
keeping it away from our most vulnerable.

 
Looking at the mortality numbers - they continue to trend downward even with the active cases trending upward.
Nice job by our health care peeps - figuring out how to keep people alive if they get it, and our care industry
keeping it away from our most vulnerable.

I would credit people for protecting themselves. I believe by now many of the most vulnerable (older, obese, comorbidities) wear masks regularly and are staying away from strangers. Another possibility - covid is mutating to a less virulent strain. This almost always happens and is a survival mechanism for viruses. I would think if the government(s) knew this was the case, they certainly won't make it public knowledge.
 
Are you trying to claim that Florida is getting worse when every metric shows improvement?

Except for cases, dead bodies and rate of transmission? But, "consider the source" as a wise, young man once said (Post #3,947 above.)

@SNOWFAK3 Do you want to revisit this post 53 days later? Regression analysis could be #fakemath?

For my next act, I will dredge up all the "...just like the flu..." posts that our forum scientists posted.
 
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Except for cases, dead bodies and rate of transmission? But, "consider the source" as a wise, young man once said (Post #3,947 above.)

@SNOWFAK3 Do you want to revisit this post 53 days later? Regression analysis could be #fakemath?

For my next act, I will dredge up all the "...just like the flu..." posts that our forum scientists posted.
Dude... you went back 2 months? 😳
 
Except for cases, dead bodies and rate of transmission? But, "consider the source" as a wise, young man once said (Post #3,947 above.)

@SNOWFAK3 Do you want to revisit this post 53 days later? Regression analysis could be #fakemath?

For my next act, I will dredge up all the "...just like the flu..." posts that our forum scientists posted.

Haha I could go back and find all these gloom and doom predictions of millions dead.

Florida - New cases up, hospitalizations and deaths still down. Because they are testing many more people now regardless of symptoms, the new cases being found are younger and many asymptomatic. I'll give it another week to confirm as deaths typically lag infections by 2 weeks.

What is really going on here in NJ if they are only testing people with symptoms? As places re-open, cases will go up.

PS I'm getting an antibody test on Friday to see if I ever had it.
 
Except for cases, dead bodies and rate of transmission? But, "consider the source" as a wise, young man once said (Post #3,947 above.)

@SNOWFAK3 Do you want to revisit this post 53 days later? Regression analysis could be #fakemath?

For my next act, I will dredge up all the "...just like the flu..." posts that our forum scientists posted.

I'm pretty sure it was "No worse than the flu".
 
So the story isn’t finished. Right now I’d say 3x the deaths isn’t that far out of line.

10x or more was where I was originally thinking. >1M

revisit in 10 days. Big difference with positives now is that it is the younger groups. Will they spread it to the older crowd? Check in mid July.
 
So the story isn’t finished. Right now I’d say 3x the deaths isn’t that far out of line.

10x or more was where I was originally thinking. >1M

revisit in 10 days. Big difference with positives now is that it is the younger groups. Will they spread it to the older crowd? Check in mid July.
Hope I am alive by mid July....
 
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