OOS MOGA

I'm a serious man mister! I mean business and business is business.
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thread opened 4/30/18, it is 10/11/18, that is 164 days.

post number 5193 (best estimate at time of observation)

rate: posts per day
5193 / 164 = 32 ppd

posts until 9000
9000 - 5193 = 3807 days

estimated days until 9000
3807 / 32 = 119 days

estimated date of 9000th post 2/7/2019

betting line over-under: 1/31/2019 noon

just in case your kids says they will never use math in real life.

reference: https://www.epochconverter.com/days/2018 https://www.epochconverter.com/days/2019
 
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That might have gotten replaced with mtbnj CR ride.
we'll reshuffle as needed, Hartshorne, like Wayay is high on my list to visit this year as I've not been to either
As for Friday recon of CR, I'm going to bag it, hasn't stopped raining here since it started and most of the nearby rivers are near flood level. I'm think Saturday will also be too muddy, but we'll see if anyone gives a better report tomorrow night
 
thread opened 4/30/18, it is 10/11/18, that is 164 days.

post number 5193 (best estimate at time of observation)

rate: posts per day
5193 / 164 = 32 ppd

posts until 9000
9000 - 5193 = 3807

estimated days until 9000
3807 / 32 = 119

estimated date of 9000th post 2/7/2019

betting line over-under: 1/31/2018 noon

just in case your kids says they will never use math in real life.

reference: https://www.epochconverter.com/days/2018 https://www.epochconverter.com/days/2019
I find your analysis interesting but incomplete...where’s the post # vs information ratio, or the acceleration rate (post per day at the beginning of the thread vs the same as of now) etc. etc.
 
I find your analysis interesting but incomplete...where’s the post # vs information ratio, or the acceleration rate (post per day at the beginning of the thread vs the same as of now) etc. etc.

good point - i did account for an enthusiasm factor at the end to shorten it by a week.
stand by.

@Paul H - i think the amount of information per post approaches zero as the post count increases.
 
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