Rode Allaire yesterday afternoon. Of course it was quite crowded given the temps. Most of it was actually dry - a few muddy spots on the Orange trail heading out that required slow speed or hike-a-bike to preserve the trail. Blue, White, Hog Bog and anything leaf-covered was fine.
The bigger problem by far was the many, many skid marks - some really dug into the soft ground or mud. I myself do not go fast enough or brake hard enough to skid. I don't really get the whole fascination with it - but it was noticeable to the point of being annoying yesterday.
I have seen this as well and I what I see is as soon as your rear tire is not rolling you have no control. won't be riding here for another few days as it poured all night and still is hope to get out new years day...