Paul H
Fearless OOS Poser
Yep... same here.
We had goods with the freight forwarder in limbo for a day in Italy because of someone's speech but I was told that they will ship.
This Thread Blows - C19 and beyond
- Thread starter Paul H
- Start date
We had goods with the freight forwarder in limbo for a day in Italy because of someone's speech but I was told that they will ship.
iman29
Well-Known Member
Officially schools closed here for next 2 weeks, with 3rd week possible.
kids not even home yet and already complaining about the remote assignments and insist I go out and get printer paper because they have to read textbooks online and they want to print the chapters. Isnt that the point of online learning?
staring at the screen doesnt seem to be an issue when they are gaming, only when they have to do school work. I foolishly tried to debate this with the wife and lost so I am off to buy printer paper. But we need dog food anyway and I want to make sure if we run out of food, we have something else to snack on.
I guess worst case when we run out of TP the printer paper could be an emergency backup plan but I like the solution better posted further up with the sink hose nozzle.
wish me luck I am heading out in public hoping not to get trampled by the TP hoarders.
kids not even home yet and already complaining about the remote assignments and insist I go out and get printer paper because they have to read textbooks online and they want to print the chapters. Isnt that the point of online learning?
staring at the screen doesnt seem to be an issue when they are gaming, only when they have to do school work. I foolishly tried to debate this with the wife and lost so I am off to buy printer paper. But we need dog food anyway and I want to make sure if we run out of food, we have something else to snack on.
I guess worst case when we run out of TP the printer paper could be an emergency backup plan but I like the solution better posted further up with the sink hose nozzle.
wish me luck I am heading out in public hoping not to get trampled by the TP hoarders.
one piece crank
1pc Cranky
I’m working the trade show in Vegas because the Italians could not fly in to staff it. Vegas is slow, but there is lots of TP.
i'm going to move my acceleration estimate down a bit - will revisit next week.
looks like incremental new cases doubles every 6 days, not sub-5 - should have stared at the graph a bit longer. or just new cases per day doubles every 4ish.
The high numbers are what will happen if we don't convince people to act.
i have no doubt in the math. even if i muck it up!
in simpler terms (as i see it)
327,000,000 people * chance of getting it * chance of going critical * f(risk of health care availability)
i'm fairly sure there is only 1 number we can mess with is the chance of getting it.
which would then improve the last function.
and as time increases, are we all going to get it? then it is the rate we get it
that determines our fate? (to other's point on not overwhelming the healthcare system)
looks like incremental new cases doubles every 6 days, not sub-5 - should have stared at the graph a bit longer. or just new cases per day doubles every 4ish.
The high numbers are what will happen if we don't convince people to act.
i have no doubt in the math. even if i muck it up!
in simpler terms (as i see it)
327,000,000 people * chance of getting it * chance of going critical * f(risk of health care availability)
i'm fairly sure there is only 1 number we can mess with is the chance of getting it.
which would then improve the last function.
and as time increases, are we all going to get it? then it is the rate we get it
that determines our fate? (to other's point on not overwhelming the healthcare system)
Again. Depends upon how much testing is being done. Colorado's numbers are doubling daily.
assume confirmed is a proxy for infected. which means if we aren't testing enough, the ratio is higher.
wasn't the post malone concert in denver last night?
nice job by the governor there -
a.s.
Mr. Chainring
Just keep humoring him. He needs to keep busy.Wait, is someone actually taking your number seriously?
😉
Wait, is someone actually taking your number seriously?
no - but the picture tells the story. i guess the actual number isn't really important....
cases march 1st-75 march 12:1697
Prediction: march 19: 6,300 - write it down.
i may be off by a day, make it 7,400
buy the insurance.
Captain Brainstorm
Well-Known Member
What the math doesn't take into account is that not all 327,000,000 people have a chance of getting it. We actually have an immune system, some even have robust innate immune systems that will take care of it immediately, some will never even come within 100 miles of an infected person. The reality is a part of the population is also more susceptible than others.
Buy duct tape and zip ties before it all gets horded away. After 2 weeks of 24/7 quality time, you can hog tie them and throw them in the closet.
Catching up, not sure if this has been noted yet,
but those screen cap posts seems to be from a report supposedly issued by Stanford Health,
which has been identified as false information by multiple organizations,
and confirmed by Stanford to not be theirs.
There is a bunch that is inaccurate in that announcement.
Since many details aren't yet known, we need to be vigilant about our sources.
Viral Social Media Posts Offer False Coronavirus Tips - FactCheck.org
Posts are circulating false and misleading tips on social media -- in some cases wrongly attributed to Stanford University -- about how people can monitor and avoid the coronavirus.
www.factcheck.org
change second factor to 'average chance of getting it' - better wording.
there is also the possibility that they create a vaccine/treatment in the near time frame.
that would be nice.
Surely you aren't suggesting that holding your breath for a few seconds isn't a reliable test for coronavirus?
They are discussing shutting down their US locations like they did in China,
the ones in China are slated to re-open soon.
If you want to catch the wave, you might have to go visit Vreeland.
@Patrick
I read:
As of Tuesday (March 10), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had tested 3,791 specimens for COVID, while other state and local labs had conducted 7,288 tests, according to the CDC. It's not clear how that number translates to people tested, however, because some states are running the test twice to confirm the results.
thats a little over 10,000....not exactly alot of people being tested out there. Whats that number 3 days later? 20,000? 30,000?
I read:
As of Tuesday (March 10), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had tested 3,791 specimens for COVID, while other state and local labs had conducted 7,288 tests, according to the CDC. It's not clear how that number translates to people tested, however, because some states are running the test twice to confirm the results.
thats a little over 10,000....not exactly alot of people being tested out there. Whats that number 3 days later? 20,000? 30,000?