High level, original article had the basic epidemiology correct (quadratic vs. exponential), and had a reasoned opinion on how/why the data is being spun by the government. I personally think the data is being completely cherry picked based on the socio-economic impact to China and the world.
The numbers are probably being under reported. Given the amount of business the world does with China, they were totally under pressure to take the quarantine measures that they did, and now they want to lift that and get back to business because it’s starting to take an economic toll, plain and simple. Thirty years ago, you wouldn’t even know that this was happening, but times have changed.
As for the virus itself, it’s not any more pathogenic than the flu, but transmits easier, and that 2 week incubation (while being contagious) sits in that sweet spot from an epidemiological perspective. In my opinion, this is nothing, just wait until a really pathogenic strain emerges with that 2 or 3 week incubation period, then shit will get real, fast. Based on the total lack of ability to contain here, and the mass hysteria, it’s going to suck when that happens.