I'll generate the graph. I don't think the It is climbing on a daily basis. I haven't tracked it other than as a graph, and it is lost in the 200 day version.
This Thread Blows - C19 and beyond
- Thread starter Paul H
- Start date
I'll generate the graph. I don't think the It is climbing on a daily basis. I haven't tracked it other than as a graph, and it is lost in the 200 day version.
So it’s over?
the feelings gone.
rick81721
Lothar
That's just deaths/day. Doesn't show death/infection rate change.
eyeball it.
rick81721
Lothar
Ah so deaths/new cases (y axis just says new cases) ? What time lag?
it is new deaths - i forgot to update the label, thanks.
it is worldometers, so it is just differenced each day
deaths/new cases is interesting, since it looks like deaths are flat, the ratio is declining (although lag as you point out)
everyone in sweden will be dead by christmas.
rick81721
Lothar
Top right graph is kinda silly - starting a trend line before a peak in the data doesn't tell you much. Peak in deaths was early August.
I only look at daily new cases, normalized to factor out differences in test numbers. Here's what it looks like from the peak end of June to today. Still declining but at a slower rate the last 4 weeks:
This is the best site I have found that tracks (updates daily) new cases (not normalized), hospitalizations and deaths:
https://tallahasseereports.com/2020...ive-trends-for-florida-in-coronavirus-battle/
rick81721
Lothar
Pat is going to love this sample - trying to extrapolate a serology study on dialysis patients to the entire US population? Jeeze most of these people have multiple co-morbidities - I'm surprised it was this high
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)32009-2/fulltext
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)32009-2/fulltext
it makes total sense, and says what it says. nothing more or less.
it is a best fit line, not moving average.
i'm more interested in the 26 day anyway.
saw this - and it isn't applicable to any population. since i don't do that.
rick81721
Lothar
Haha it makes "total sense" for a completely arbitrary time period of 78 days. Why 78? Why not just start from the beginning to capture all the data? And why 26 days??
number of letters in the alphabet.
made updating the range easier.
all time periods are arbitrary -
rick81721
Lothar
Looking at all the data isn't arbitrary. Looking at a short-term data set (i.e. 28 or 26 days) isn't arbitrary. Looking at data from a peak until now isn't arbitrary. 78 days is arbitrary!
mfennell
Well-Known Member
rick81721
Lothar
So much for schools opening causing a increase in children infections
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...feared-covid-surge-hasnt-followed/3557417001/
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...feared-covid-surge-hasnt-followed/3557417001/
So they double down by opening all bars and restaurants without restrictions.