I’m sure @Patrick can smell, unless he has coronavirus of course....
I've been riding with my friends a few times a week for a month. Primarily with 4 other guys who are very local to me, occasionally with our normal-times crew that includes 5 or 6 others. They are the only non-family members I interact with. We always draft. Because fast.Forgot to mention my cycling social distancing experience from my ride in western NJ 2 days ago. Encountered two large groups of roadies - at least 15 each. First group was older, I'd say 60s-70s. They were all spaced by about 6 ft. Enough outside for a long ride? I don't think so. Anywho, second group was younger, probably 30s-40s. They weren't drafting but were very close to each other.
I've only ridden with a couple guys from work. They're so slow that I'm never not leading, lol.I've been riding with my friends a few times a week for a month. Primarily with 4 other guys who are very local to me, occasionally with our normal-times crew that includes 5 or 6 others. They are the only non-family members I interact with. We always draft. Because fast.
AFAIK, the pilot in the group and Dave Taylor (who I've only ridden with a handful of times) are the only ones actually physically going to work. The risk seems reasonable.
Okay, here it comes.
Your theory about C19 deaths being overcounted needs some support, which I had asked you for above. Did you think I forgot? Meanwhile, I had linked two academic studies that concluded C19 deaths were probably undercounted. One was by scientists from Yale and VCU. I will take a wild ass guess here and bet your study, which is not yet posted in this thread, is from a scientist from tRUMP university.
Have fun believing everything.
Nope, their extinct due to COVID.Like unicorns? Can I believe in unicorns?
1% of the entire population? Shouldn't it be 1% of the infected? If so, these numbers are way off.I believe
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Like unicorns? Can I believe in unicorns?
I believe
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1% of the entire population? Shouldn't it be 1% of the infected? If so, these numbers are way off.
All I saw (because I’m not going back through this entire thread) is a National Geographic study and a Columbia study that wasn’t peer reviewed. My examples of over counting are purely anecdotal, through personal 1st hand experience (not the internet), and over 30yrs in the pharma biz. Oh, I also used to be a virologist, so listening to a lot of the bullshit here is especially painful.
Have fun believing everything.
What is your PhD in @Monkey Soup ?
Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19
Figures present excess deaths associated with COVID-19 at the national and state levels.www.cdc.gov
Here is the second study that @mfennell had posted above.
I discussed this at the time with Dr. Joe, (microbiology) and he agreed that the information inferred that the death count was understated.
What is your PhD in @Monkey Soup ?
That's just flat out false. A lot of people died at home and untested, especially at the height of things when tests were not available. A heard an interview with an EMT in NYC who coded THIRTEEN at home people in one double shift. He admitted he was relieved that one of them was a suicide because that was so much less stressful.I have personal examples there also, but since it’s not linked to some online study, they don’t count. In the corona world though, everyone with a sniffle goes to get that super accurate (sarcasm) antibody test.
. Source.During March 11–May 2, 2020, a total of 32,107 deaths were reported to DOHMH; of these deaths, 24,172 (95% confidence interval = 22,980–25,364) were found to be in excess of the seasonal expected baseline. Included in the 24,172 deaths were 13,831 (57%) laboratory-confirmed COVID-19–associated deaths and 5,048 (21%) probable COVID-19–associated deaths, leaving 5,293 (22%) excess deaths that were not identified as either laboratory-confirmed or probable COVID-19–associated deaths (Figure).
The 5,293 excess deaths not identified as confirmed or probable COVID-19–associated deaths might have been directly or indirectly attributable to the pandemic. The percentages of these excess deaths that occurred in persons infected with SARS-CoV-2 or resulted from indirect impacts of the pandemic are unknown and require further investigation.