I had read that this paper is what triggered the administration to wake up last Wednesday. SOLID post.
i'm back, after my 1 day quarantine. Probably my only post for the day, to limit exposure.
------------
Sure, they needed a made-for-tv drama script two months later because the
public couldn't listen to the scientists,
and when polled, the public thought it was no biggie, so the elected government, to maintain approval ratings, reflected the concern level
of the people - which was dismissive. It is not the other way around.
Early numbers of exponential growth were compared to final flu numbers from a few years ago.
Why were they not compared to early numbers and the growth rate of that flu? (2+ compared to 1.3)
Why wasn't the hospitalization rate compared? (15%+ to 2%)
And why wasn't that clearly communicated?
Using the flu numbers that conspiracy theorist from
@jdog's vid, he quoted
US numbers 45M/325M (13.8%)contracted the flu, 60k died: 0.15% - but only 2% required hospitalization
over a slower growth curve. This virus has more than 7x the need for hospital beds with a growth rate
of almost double (and double in terms of exponential, isn't a linear double - it is double in each "cycle")
these figures were known.
The mortality rate of the virus, is different than the overall rate, because people will
die that didn't have to, because care will not available. The mortality rate of the diamond princess is not
indicative of the final toll, because all of these people were treated.
Iran and Italy don't have a stronger strain, they just have a head start.
It’s more contagious, more deadly (particularly for older people), and it has a greater potential to overwhelm our health care system.
www.vox.com
www.cidrap.umn.edu
Edit:
I have a serious question. Wouldn't it make more sense to isolate and support those who have compromised immune systems and the elderly rather than everyone else? What are the long term societal and health and wellness implications for everyone when there is a major economic collapse?
And no, I am not a conspiracy theorist. The virus is real and I believe our motivations behind the measures currently being taken are genuine. I just wonder if we are focusing on the wrong things and the impact that is going to have long after COVID-19 has run it's course.
the economy and small business will recover. it survived the depression. It survived the wars when no raw materials were available.
Potato famine, the dust bowl, lack of snow in the NJ.